Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.004366 0.004596 0.004833 0.005094 0.005374 0.005667 0.005996
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.003928 0.004267 0.004629 0.005048 0.005519 0.006036 0.006648
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.003632 0.004027 0.004462 0.004980 0.005583 0.006267 0.007108
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.003490 0.003937 0.004440 0.005054 0.005790 0.006651 0.007745
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.003336 0.003815 0.004367 0.005054 0.005897 0.006909 0.008235
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.003186 0.003687 0.004273 0.005018 0.005950 0.007095 0.008633
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.003028 0.003540 0.004147 0.004929 0.005927 0.007177 0.008896
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.002896 0.003417 0.004042 0.004860 0.005920 0.007273 0.009175
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.002812 0.003348 0.003999 0.004864 0.006003 0.007485 0.009617
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.002658 0.003184 0.003830 0.004697 0.005853 0.007377 0.009607
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.002594 0.003132 0.003800 0.004708 0.005936 0.007585 0.010047
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002581 0.003143 0.003850 0.004824 0.006165 0.008001 0.010809
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002495 0.003058 0.003773 0.004769 0.006158 0.008089 0.011098
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002419 0.002984 0.003708 0.004727 0.006167 0.008199 0.011425
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002341 0.002904 0.003631 0.004665 0.006143 0.008258 0.011676
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002316 0.002894 0.003648 0.004733 0.006307 0.008600 0.012389
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002268 0.002851 0.003618 0.004733 0.006371 0.008792 0.012873
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002212 0.002794 0.003567 0.004700 0.006383 0.008905 0.013231
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002141 0.002717 0.003484 0.004619 0.006319 0.008897 0.013383
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.002080 0.002650 0.003416 0.004555 0.006279 0.008922 0.013591
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.002044 0.002618 0.003394 0.004559 0.006341 0.009111 0.014094
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.001959 0.002514 0.003268 0.004406 0.006155 0.008892 0.013859
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.001930 0.002489 0.003253 0.004416 0.006222 0.009088 0.014384